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Posts in Category: politics

Poll Aggregation 1, People Who Think Poll Aggregation Misses The Point 0

John
14th Oct 2016
Polling
0 Comments

screen-shot-2016-10-14-at-11-14-17-am

Source: All The Reasons You Doubt Polls: Motivated Reasoning Strikes Again

Sam Wang’s new take on people’s take, courtesy Princeton Election Consortium.

This, this, a thousand million kaskillion times

John
11th Oct 2016
Politics
2 Comments

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In eight years of watching Sam Wang’s extraordinary work aggregating polling data at Princeton Election Consortium ( this is one of the bigger single-day moves I’ve seen, particularly this

John
13th Oct 2016
Politics
0 Comments

As I’d been suggesting, the early response that Trump did well in the debate should show up in the first few days’ polling done afterwards, but if that glow really did fade quickly, by the time we got to polls that were taken entirely after Sunday night, we’d probably see

Posts in Category: politics

Poll Aggregation 1, People Who Think Poll Aggregation Misses The Point 0

The Princeton Election Consortium meta-margin just took nearly a 1% jump in a day. On polling from before the debate.

PEC Clinton meta-margin closes up another 0.3%. Needs to start widening again by Monday.